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Frozen pre-match forecast · #181299

Akron VS Dynamo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 09:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
18.68%
Draw
22.77%
Away
58.55%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0560
Log loss
1.6777

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
ec3c674f2783b38d935b533a9f8ceee4c6fb3ba8801e3572238806683b85b833

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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