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Frozen pre-match forecast · #181257

Povltava FA VS Příbram II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.85%
Draw
23.94%
Away
44.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4700
Log loss
0.8162

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
80f112baaf1deebf03eeeeeb8b76d3962da9f6eec5702ac35a165082d8610123

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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