Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #18121

Al Jeel VS Hajer

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:47 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.25%
Draw
38.85%
Away
37.90%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5716
Log loss
0.9455

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:47 UTC
SHA-256
15e4e65f8fbdcfd8eb6d6e47cc143173ea9f44ef8124477316194ad40e9fe929

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →