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Frozen pre-match forecast · #181092

Leobendorf VS Gloggnitz

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.14%
Draw
23.83%
Away
26.03%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8993
Log loss
1.4342

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
7df8f4f1de9f3b5657071c61f40e2537429b53c6e5220ec2180396d6e9737ffe

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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