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Frozen pre-match forecast · #180999

Hvidovre VS HB Koge

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.44%
Draw
22.76%
Away
24.80%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9331
Log loss
1.4802

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
4c9df45a07c81bb82824023935ab8c10d160de7173a261b1f5ed0c0b87c561ea

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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