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Frozen pre-match forecast · #180927

Royal Vision VS Inter Star

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
70.19%
Draw
18.54%
Away
11.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.1689
Log loss
1.6852

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
a0cb9c6a59fd01e3a731b5def2bf3dd1869f4e7b65a21a412a68333ec23bbe04

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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