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Frozen pre-match forecast · #18091

Deportivo La Coruna VS Real Betis

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:46 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.93%
Draw
29.71%
Away
45.36%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7620
Log loss
1.2137

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:46 UTC
SHA-256
d6bfb24152a840c439007584a7995bed49359d031b1155f5ae3ed79209e55072

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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