Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #180836

Didube 2014 VS Gonio

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.08%
Draw
25.26%
Away
37.65%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5900
Log loss
0.9767

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
7f12f18ce27f9b022ad92e2355b907b8fe1200079e49ce05175e0b4b8462ed6f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →