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Frozen pre-match forecast · #180790

JS El Biar VS MC Oran

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 14:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.93%
Draw
31.34%
Away
34.73%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7072
Log loss
1.1603

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
ae491502cb2b0a9948e552beac0d23fd6e76e14214429e54d56e16dce9c06f27

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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