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Frozen pre-match forecast · #180593

Leatherhead VS Eastbourne Borough

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 02:02 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.38%
Draw
24.14%
Away
42.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8674
Log loss
1.4214

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 02:02 UTC
SHA-256
8caf81a9daff52c63e1140a13237f834ccd26e8e49dd083312c2b283bc2cc36a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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