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Frozen pre-match forecast · #180474

Galanta VS Humenné

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 01:02 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.98%
Draw
21.38%
Away
17.65%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.0211
Log loss
1.5428

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 01:02 UTC
SHA-256
52f4807031693cc966482d577311ce85a97d8e0c407325fc40802706516d8614

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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