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Frozen pre-match forecast · #180464

Attard VS St. Andrews

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 01:02 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.49%
Draw
26.72%
Away
36.79%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6041
Log loss
0.9999

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 01:02 UTC
SHA-256
ac6a2574019b247090ffda179f0eff93378411122490a82737bc5f66bd7b8a40

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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