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Frozen pre-match forecast · #180408

Teleoptik VS TSC Backa Topola

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 01:01 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.77%
Draw
20.80%
Away
59.43%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2469
Log loss
0.5204

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Oct 2026 · 01:01 UTC
SHA-256
7c7e3cb03ef4d0546470a2443faf918b7f297659c175eb5b1d7ec935f6eb3de6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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