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Frozen pre-match forecast · #18034

Fethiyespor VS 12 Bingölspor

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:45 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
20.47%
Draw
40.21%
Away
39.32%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5540
Log loss
0.9111

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:45 UTC
SHA-256
15ebf1a5a5355add7b180b70726799641a1ba9062d0d0ce9d332270fb20c57eb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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