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Frozen pre-match forecast · #18028

Sarıyer VS Boluspor

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:45 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.77%
Draw
24.06%
Away
10.17%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1854
Log loss
0.4190

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:45 UTC
SHA-256
18dd8a3c64a8b35bf981c79253b552120550fe038bad8346a3360a6e9189a589

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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