Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #180224

Brothers Union VS Abahani

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 13:01 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 08:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
8.01%
Draw
14.65%
Away
77.34%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.4658
Log loss
2.5245

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 13:01 UTC
SHA-256
4016f366f5c0ac0f158a1d00f9fcd91ba4633ed74df24d273b0183c114de53db

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →