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Frozen pre-match forecast · #180043

Dibrados FC VS Funkbol

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 22:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.66%
Draw
16.00%
Away
51.34%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.3690
Log loss
0.6667

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
07859f23aa12d69403dd4cd7e4363336af35a6a01ccc492b6d17cc44ccd2e37e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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