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Frozen pre-match forecast · #179847

Vvsb VS EVV

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.65%
Draw
22.44%
Away
28.90%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3975
Log loss
0.7204

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
65b6b8099cc8305558c68dd7a0d931ee0cc7478fd75f238cd4900553a03f7560

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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