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Frozen pre-match forecast · #17983

Città di Campobasso VS Pineto

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.03%
Draw
29.96%
Away
30.01%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7409
Log loss
1.2053

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
SHA-256
3ca2ba22e6f06886de05d4c94cd57e5aac1cfae073369f75b4fc30ba700d112c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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