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Frozen pre-match forecast · #179756

Asane VS hodd

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.28%
Draw
19.37%
Away
58.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9820
Log loss
1.5015

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
807db8640f25a6fbd72b65fd30fb163cd09064d2b2863f9005721e3f8c8f6105

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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