Frozen pre-match forecast · #179713
Belediye Derincespor VS Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 22 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 28 Oct 2026 · 10:30 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 33.60%
- Draw
- 24.33%
- Away
- 42.07%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.5077
- Log loss
- 0.8658
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 22 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
- SHA-256
- 79f809b56deb8d81a1c44272b8bc4c75d6271eb90c533408733ab734c2eef614
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.