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Frozen pre-match forecast · #17948

CD Sietamo VS Brea

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:43 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
13.34%
Draw
43.75%
Away
42.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5183
Log loss
0.8267

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:43 UTC
SHA-256
5da5e81c1ef5609a009fb5cfe3f0e8fe131e0fc2cbf900f2423288ed32b15f73

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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