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Frozen pre-match forecast · #179472

Canaa EC VS Planaltina DF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.64%
Draw
27.33%
Away
25.03%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4115
Log loss
0.7415

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
6e355e8fda23c9c88a420b7d8dbd98fd9b1a5945c7b4928e6c2c32588cc03610

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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