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Frozen pre-match forecast · #17942

Porreres VS Inter Ibiza

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:43 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.36%
Draw
33.23%
Away
28.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5710
Log loss
0.9581

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:43 UTC
SHA-256
5ae0df9f3a4c1bb3cbf84f3c11f3ff62d3bd0b699071b795054bdf15ef7896d4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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