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Frozen pre-match forecast · #179406

Worksop Town VS King's Lynn Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.87%
Draw
24.56%
Away
40.58%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6492
Log loss
1.0536

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
9f472c0766dc07ae292cfb3c7ff508ff58a2398c3848d26a2b1880c6625e1cf4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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