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Frozen pre-match forecast · #17929

Amurrio Club VS Sodupe

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:43 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.61%
Draw
33.23%
Away
45.16%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6965
Log loss
1.1017

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:43 UTC
SHA-256
ba6c29d9ada4b4f274e95d1f756e9eec2c453d9905b2e5d5ae980cada4a31f7d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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