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Frozen pre-match forecast · #179068

Leo Victor VS Robin Hood

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 19:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.01%
Draw
23.59%
Away
55.41%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9866
Log loss
1.5603

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
72538f41aa1b7a5043b7077feb34a8720d41cea787cadce5fd92f5c0b2cd74f5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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