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Frozen pre-match forecast · #179038

OFI VS PAOK

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
20.47%
Draw
24.13%
Away
55.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9976
Log loss
1.5862

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
e286812183fc33a5945fcb9082c4b592a8f0e75545d17ea4871dc865ed9f018c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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