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Frozen pre-match forecast · #179024

Gent VS Anderlecht

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.24%
Draw
27.25%
Away
33.50%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5556
Log loss
0.9354

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
ec1796c2c778c144b29ae8a477def7fcdf210a4baae3e790372851b527b4a214

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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