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Frozen pre-match forecast · #17901

Skeid VS Tromsdalen Uil

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:42 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.12%
Draw
33.21%
Away
44.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 690-minute result
Brier score
0.4654
Log loss
0.8059

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:42 UTC
SHA-256
071802e2f8fb2b7e68b067ddb48161e0d12bbdc2c48e1b1a6610187c2b804a57

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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