Frozen pre-match forecast · #178968
Erandio VS Touring
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 22 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 31.03%
- Draw
- 28.15%
- Away
- 40.82%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.5258
- Log loss
- 0.8960
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 22 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
- SHA-256
- 08602ed5281fcd7f843d5d6cd88ebe02db4b12976a02fd7c81cb4ce924c117e4
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.