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Frozen pre-match forecast · #178792

Nasarawa United VS Enyimba

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
66.50%
Draw
22.26%
Away
11.24%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1744
Log loss
0.4080

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
6898a9b0b6cc46c1e3e617e80d5bb95af2a00907868caf90fce193e41cbdb6a4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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