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Frozen pre-match forecast · #178781

Pontevedra II VS Silva

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.54%
Draw
27.26%
Away
34.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5690
Log loss
0.9535

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
bae1e4f9b4058ddec7729f8cab7ae055baaa2a1309ef02111ca0f36db537b245

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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