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Frozen pre-match forecast · #178595

Habay-la-Neuve VS Meux

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.07%
Draw
26.33%
Away
43.60%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7484
Log loss
1.2016

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
SHA-256
05b5acedbfd639af9c2a18aa9269c8283405fdd400e53b1a15884f98871374ef

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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