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Frozen pre-match forecast · #178407

Karystos VS Kifissos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.41%
Draw
26.30%
Away
23.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3693
Log loss
0.6849

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
fb177ca91f5bc4f923fe38d3cb1f766888da77e64f194267937653bb1bb3d691

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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