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Frozen pre-match forecast · #178341

Athletic Club VS Getafe

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.30%
Draw
25.40%
Away
16.30%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
c1623fa16e51c7743ee6835379bede2a4e1aa8cc5f74282722b7eddde01b7fb9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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