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Frozen pre-match forecast · #178329

Tuloy VS Mendiola

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.04%
Draw
19.98%
Away
33.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
e9c0f3610d71c9eb8ebac6093665e9f10aa8416f1121bfc250a73971e07d8c6b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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