Frozen pre-match forecast · #178221
Martinenc VS San Cristóbal
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 22 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 25 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 53.06%
- Draw
- 23.61%
- Away
- 23.33%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.3305
- Log loss
- 0.6337
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 22 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
- SHA-256
- a84dee5905ca8008d5cd9eded24b078d7c8bc40c7c5b6fc506bddf66f18fb694
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.