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Frozen pre-match forecast · #178183

Odense Q VS ASA Aarhus W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 10:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
17.38%
Draw
20.41%
Away
62.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2147
Log loss
0.4747

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
918fa1456e88c0b49cf5c51c3a22870e983e1e5b42d0c7ad1ac2149e0d7d3af2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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