Frozen pre-match forecast · #178157
Trenčín II VS MŠK Senec
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 22 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 25 Oct 2026 · 09:30 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 73.05%
- Draw
- 15.54%
- Away
- 11.40%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 1.3429
- Log loss
- 2.1715
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 22 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
- SHA-256
- f50ffafdea734d9ac31d94c7318543ab623da685f26e28ee96c6803cf3f1b057
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.