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Frozen pre-match forecast · #178151

Slovácko II VS Uničov

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 09:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.98%
Draw
24.46%
Away
42.56%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4985
Log loss
0.8543

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
a4b0d36f3b7ad6664bd09f925ba1d324274e37907dc476b956172786adb7b09f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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