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Frozen pre-match forecast · #177973

Temperley VS Chacarita Juniors

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.22%
Draw
30.22%
Away
21.56%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9391
Log loss
1.5343

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
7d68f6e8d5de0e182663a56dd2ddb3ec1d75f08fd4542d4d74e7ca7190b5f69c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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