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Frozen pre-match forecast · #177774

Budaörs VS Pécsi MFC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
7.70%
Draw
12.90%
Away
79.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 690-minute result
Brier score
0.0650
Log loss
0.2307

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
b256a5dc1122107fe474f0d2d7b16822f73ea580d2e964b56d5ea0be580f660a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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