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Frozen pre-match forecast · #177723

Teleoptik VS TSC Backa Topola

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.96%
Draw
24.02%
Away
50.02%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3749
Log loss
0.6927

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
e8c8334a364474c1ca2aca02a013ecab41ca60f1ae1447aee402b6d5a06428fa

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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