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Frozen pre-match forecast · #177577

Osogovo VS Akademija Pandev

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.76%
Draw
24.50%
Away
55.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0146
Log loss
1.6215

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
81998d2c8db194d5d07e6dff62824aa6371ccefc6d5b5202c7e0026e2b44d95f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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