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Frozen pre-match forecast · #177547

Bumprom VS Volna

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
62.90%
Draw
19.50%
Away
17.60%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.1126
Log loss
1.7373

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
200fdbd6dd40198ac91451309f7f391a29ead4ee349c76048e57c21c5318602e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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