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Frozen pre-match forecast · #177524

Mendrisio VS Locarno

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.31%
Draw
25.38%
Away
28.31%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
f30c812145c46538d9b5e4024f3e9ce90ea2cc755965410a22c704ed5d9f30aa

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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