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Frozen pre-match forecast · #17736

Unipomezia VS Ossese

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:39 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.05%
Draw
34.97%
Away
33.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7132
Log loss
1.1696

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:39 UTC
SHA-256
fbd878f0f2d0b5f2dab7b9853dcfee1f81e3e94b540a67c67225e4d52e79e58d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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