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Frozen pre-match forecast · #177188

Levski Sofia II VS Oborishte

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.01%
Draw
27.33%
Away
40.66%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5293
Log loss
0.8999

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
1a4f6f9e9999082ec61c9d47a6de879c366f2e6b917481d8d2a2d18b2cceb568

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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