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Frozen pre-match forecast · #177101

Hang Yuen VS Kasuka

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
77.48%
Draw
15.63%
Away
6.89%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.4917
Log loss
2.6751

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
297cfb9c23dd0bb08a59a9fb37a542f1e8331f4ff3c057038290bc98223fdfd4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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